Post by garfield on Oct 17, 2012 15:22:01 GMT 10
;D
Liberals buoyed by federal poll results
SUPPORT for Julia Gillard's Government is in danger of tanking in South Australia ;D ;D ;D , her original home state, according to leaked Liberal Party polling in two safe Labor electorates.
The result, destined to bring renewed campaign focus and perhaps pre-election dollars to a state often regarded as Labor friendly, suggests that voters in SA may be preparing to switch to Tony Abbott, despite his low personal standing.
The slide in support threatens to wipe out several backbenchers and could remove the high-profile Minister for Early Childhood, Kate Ellis.
The telephone poll, conducted by market research firm ReachTel and obtained by The Advertiser, found Labor's vote in the metropolitan seats of Hindmarsh and Makin had all but collapsed, with swings - if an election were held now - of 12 per cent and greater.
In Hindmarsh to the city's west, which has some of the oldest voters in the country, Labor's Steve Georganas would have been bundled out with a swing against him of some 12 per cent.
The phone poll put Labor's primary vote at 28 per cent to the Liberals' 50 per cent.
The Greens vote contracted slightly to 10 per cent from the 12 per cent obtained at the last election. This suggested a two-party-preferred vote for Liberal hopeful Matt Williams of 57 per cent to Mr Georganas on just 43.
In Makin to the city's north-east, where Labor's Tony Zappia enjoys a supposedly very safe 12 per cent margin, he would have been defeated by the Liberals' Sue Lawrie in an even bigger swing. She would have received up to 44 per cent of the primary vote to Labor's 33 per cent which works out to a two-party-preferred split of 55-45 in the Liberal's favour.
Ms Ellis holds her seat of Adelaide with a relatively slim 7.7 per cent buffer.
The polls, conducted last week, canvassed "between 400 and 450 people in each of the two seats", according to a senior Liberal source.
Labor MPs are likely to dismiss the results as propaganda, but they will send shockwaves through a Government that had regarded SA as essentially stable and non-critical to the 2013 election.
Liberals buoyed by federal poll results
SUPPORT for Julia Gillard's Government is in danger of tanking in South Australia ;D ;D ;D , her original home state, according to leaked Liberal Party polling in two safe Labor electorates.
The result, destined to bring renewed campaign focus and perhaps pre-election dollars to a state often regarded as Labor friendly, suggests that voters in SA may be preparing to switch to Tony Abbott, despite his low personal standing.
The slide in support threatens to wipe out several backbenchers and could remove the high-profile Minister for Early Childhood, Kate Ellis.
The telephone poll, conducted by market research firm ReachTel and obtained by The Advertiser, found Labor's vote in the metropolitan seats of Hindmarsh and Makin had all but collapsed, with swings - if an election were held now - of 12 per cent and greater.
In Hindmarsh to the city's west, which has some of the oldest voters in the country, Labor's Steve Georganas would have been bundled out with a swing against him of some 12 per cent.
The phone poll put Labor's primary vote at 28 per cent to the Liberals' 50 per cent.
The Greens vote contracted slightly to 10 per cent from the 12 per cent obtained at the last election. This suggested a two-party-preferred vote for Liberal hopeful Matt Williams of 57 per cent to Mr Georganas on just 43.
In Makin to the city's north-east, where Labor's Tony Zappia enjoys a supposedly very safe 12 per cent margin, he would have been defeated by the Liberals' Sue Lawrie in an even bigger swing. She would have received up to 44 per cent of the primary vote to Labor's 33 per cent which works out to a two-party-preferred split of 55-45 in the Liberal's favour.
Ms Ellis holds her seat of Adelaide with a relatively slim 7.7 per cent buffer.
The polls, conducted last week, canvassed "between 400 and 450 people in each of the two seats", according to a senior Liberal source.
Labor MPs are likely to dismiss the results as propaganda, but they will send shockwaves through a Government that had regarded SA as essentially stable and non-critical to the 2013 election.
thread from Newstalkback1's VILLAGE IDIOT? 
